Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Panama had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.