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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 5, 2021 at 11pm UK
Independence Park
PN

Jamaica
0 - 3
Panama


Nicholson (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Andrade (14'), Blackburn (39'), Waterman Ruiz (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Panama had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
JamaicaDrawPanama
50.55%23.91%25.54%
Both teams to score 55.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36%45.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04%67.96%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9%18.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.96%49.04%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21%31.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78%68.22%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 50.55%
    Panama 25.55%
    Draw 23.91%
JamaicaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.55%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 25.55%

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