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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 3.05am UK
 
UN

El Salvador
0 - 0
USA


Monterroza (40')
FT

McKennie (66'), Yedlin (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for USA had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest USA win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
El SalvadorDrawUSA
38.65%24.13%37.22%
Both teams to score 60.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5%41.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11%63.89%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45%21.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38%54.62%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73%22.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29%55.71%
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 38.65%
    USA 37.22%
    Draw 24.13%
El SalvadorDrawUSA
2-1 @ 8.49%
1-0 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.65%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 4.16%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.22%

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