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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 9, 2021 at 1.05am UK
 
MN

Panama
1 - 1
Mexico

Blackburn (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Corona (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Panama had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Panama win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawMexico
23.44%24.71%51.85%
Both teams to score 51.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11%50.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23%72.76%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54%36.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76%73.24%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39%19.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44%51.56%
Score Analysis
    Panama 23.44%
    Mexico 51.84%
    Draw 24.71%
PanamaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-1 @ 5.93%
2-0 @ 3.64%
3-1 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.44%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-2 @ 9.49%
1-3 @ 5.2%
0-3 @ 5.15%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.84%

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