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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
UN

Kazakhstan
2 - 2
Ukraine

Valiullin (74', 90+5')
Vassiljev (43'), Pokatilov (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yaremchuk (2'), Sikan (90+3')
Mykolenko (52'), Zinchenko (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 44.47%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
KazakhstanDrawUkraine
26.49%29.03%44.47%
Both teams to score 41.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99%64.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81%83.19%
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94%41.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39%77.61%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21%28.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36%64.64%
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 26.49%
    Ukraine 44.46%
    Draw 29.03%
KazakhstanDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 5.83%
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 26.49%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 11.82%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.03%
0-1 @ 14.71%
0-2 @ 9.16%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-3 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.18%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 44.46%

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