Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 44.47%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.