Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Denmark | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Tunisia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Australia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result | ||
France | Draw | Denmark |
46.67% ( 0.07) | 25.38% ( 0.05) | 27.96% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.15% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.84% ( -0.25) | 50.16% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.87% ( -0.22) | 72.13% ( 0.22) |
France Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.5% ( -0.07) | 21.5% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.45% ( -0.11) | 54.55% ( 0.11) |
Denmark Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.21) | 32.29% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.24) | 68.79% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
France | Draw | Denmark |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.96% |
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