SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Australia had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Australia |
49.39% ( 0.33) | 26.8% ( 0.06) | 23.81% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% ( -0.52) | 58.38% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.01% ( -0.41) | 78.99% ( 0.41) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0.07) | 23.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% ( -0.1) | 57.89% ( 0.1) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( -0.67) | 40.3% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.07% ( -0.61) | 76.93% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Australia |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.81% |
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