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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio 24 de Setembro
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Guinea-Bissau
0 - 3
Morocco


Nogueira (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
El Kaabi (10', 70'), Barkok (20')
Chaira (43')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Second Round clash between Guinea-Bissau and Morocco.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawMorocco
24.26%26.98%48.75%
Both teams to score 45.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.33%58.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79%79.21%
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31%76.69%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83%24.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51%58.49%
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 24.26%
    Morocco 48.75%
    Draw 26.97%
Guinea-BissauDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.25%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 13.74%
0-2 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-3 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 48.75%

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