Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
