SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Morocco |
| 24.26% | 26.98% | 48.75% |
| Both teams to score 45.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.33% | 58.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.79% | 79.21% |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% | 40.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.31% | 76.69% |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% | 24.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.51% | 58.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.26% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 13.74% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.75% |
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