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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
GN

Morocco
5 - 0
Guinea-Bissau

Hakimi (31'), Louza (45+1' pen.), Chaira (49'), El Kaabi (62'), El Haddadi (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Balde (35'), Djalo (37'), Nogueira (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawGuinea-Bissau
56.65%22.85%20.51%
Both teams to score 53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59%46.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3%68.7%
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83%16.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.37%45.63%
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Score Analysis
    Morocco 56.64%
    Guinea-Bissau 20.51%
    Draw 22.84%
MoroccoDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.87%
3-1 @ 6%
3-0 @ 6%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 56.64%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.51%

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