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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
NM

Iceland
2 - 2
N. Macedonia

Ingi Bjarnason (78'), Lucas Guojohnsen (84')
Mar Saevarsson (42'), Gudmundsson (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Velkovski (11'), Alioski (54')
Ristovski (57'), Miovski (89'), Jahovic (89'), Spirovski (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 38.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.91%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
IcelandDrawNorth Macedonia
38.74%21.91%39.35%
Both teams to score 69.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87%30.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.65%51.35%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41%16.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61%46.39%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66%16.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06%45.93%
Score Analysis
    Iceland 38.74%
    North Macedonia 39.35%
    Draw 21.91%
IcelandDrawNorth Macedonia
2-1 @ 7.92%
1-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.75%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 7.18%
0-0 @ 2.71%
3-3 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 4.45%
2-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.22%
3-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 39.35%

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