Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 13.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.54%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.