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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 11am UK
 
UA

South Korea
1 - 0
UAE

Hee-chan (36' pen.)
Woo-young (42'), Kyu-Sung (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawUnited Arab Emirates
36.97%26.92%36.11%
Both teams to score 51.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97%54.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54%75.47%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8%28.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11%63.89%
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46%64.54%
Score Analysis
    South Korea 36.97%
    United Arab Emirates 36.11%
    Draw 26.92%
South KoreaDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.97%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.11%

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