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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
 
IN

UAE
0 - 1
Iran


Al Ahbabi (21'), Abdulrahman (74'), Saleh (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taremi (70')
Noorafkan (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Iran had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawIran
47.95%24.44%27.61%
Both teams to score 55.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61%46.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33%68.67%
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58%19.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75%51.25%
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42%30.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19%66.81%
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 47.95%
    Iran 27.61%
    Draw 24.44%
United Arab EmiratesDrawIran
1-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 47.95%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 27.61%

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