Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Iran had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
