Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.