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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
SK

Iraq
0 - 3
South Korea


Adnan (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jae-sung (33'), Heung-min (74' pen.), Woo-yeong (80')
Chul (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
IraqDrawSouth Korea
31.43%29.18%39.39%
Both teams to score 43.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.17%62.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.66%82.34%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6%36.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82%73.18%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91%31.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59%67.4%
Score Analysis
    Iraq 31.43%
    South Korea 39.38%
    Draw 29.17%
IraqDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 31.43%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 13.21%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 7.72%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 39.38%

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