Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
