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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
AN

Netherlands
2 - 0
Austria

Depay (11' pen.), Dumfries (67')
de Roon (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alaba (10'), Bachmann (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Austria had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawAustria
47.53%21.53%30.94%
Both teams to score 68.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.6%30.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.33%51.67%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5%13.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.46%40.54%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62%20.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2%52.8%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 47.53%
    Austria 30.94%
    Draw 21.53%
NetherlandsDrawAustria
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 5.52%
1-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-2 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-3 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.17%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.53%
1-1 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 6.98%
0-0 @ 2.75%
3-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-1 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 1.47%
1-4 @ 1.47%
3-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.94%

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