Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Austria had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.