SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Syria had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Syria |
67% ( 0.08) | 18.89% ( -0.02) | 14.1% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( -0.03) | 39.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( -0.03) | 62.19% ( 0.03) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.01% ( 0.01) | 10.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.74% ( 0.03) | 35.25% ( -0.03) |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.53% ( -0.11) | 40.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.92% ( -0.1) | 77.08% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Syria |
| 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 4.16% Total : 67% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.89% | 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.1% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
