SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyrgyzstan win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Chinese Taipei had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyrgyzstan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Chinese Taipei win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyrgyzstan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Chinese Taipei |
40.79% ( 0.73) | 25.37% ( -0.07) | 33.84% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% ( 0.16) | 47.74% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.07% ( 0.15) | 69.93% ( -0.15) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( 0.44) | 23.23% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( 0.64) | 57.14% ( -0.63) |
| Chinese Taipei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( -0.32) | 27.06% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% ( -0.43) | 62.43% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Chinese Taipei |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.79% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.84% |
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