SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Morocco | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Iran in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Iran.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Lebanon |
| 61.21% | 22.65% | 16.14% |
| Both teams to score 45.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% | 51.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% | 73.72% |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% | 16.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.67% | 46.33% |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.87% | 45.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.96% | 81.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 13.43% 2-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.76% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 61.2% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.14% |
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