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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
LN

Syria
2 - 3
Lebanon

Khribin (20'), Al Somah (64')
Rahman Oues (81'), Omari (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kadouh (45+1', 45+3'), Saad (53')
Kadouh (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
SyriaDrawLebanon
41.55%26.04%32.4%
Both teams to score 53.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49%51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14%72.86%
Syria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71%24.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34%58.65%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4%65.6%
Score Analysis
    Syria 41.55%
    Lebanon 32.4%
    Draw 26.04%
SyriaDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.4%

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