Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.