Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Luxembourg
60.42%	22.25%	17.33%

Both teams to score 49.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52%

48.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39%

70.61%

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.39%

15.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.39%

44.61%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48%

41.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98%

78.02%

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 60.41%

Luxembourg 17.33%

Draw 22.25%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.18% Total : 60.41%	1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 5.7% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.33%