Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.