SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 51.75% | 26.62% | 21.64% |
| Both teams to score 43.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% | 79.85% |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% | 23.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.95% | 57.05% |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.63% | 79.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montenegro | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 1-0 @ 14.6% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.74% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.06% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.64% |
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