Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Germany
18.36%	23%	58.65%

Both teams to score 48.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04%

49.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06%

71.94%

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.83%

41.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.29%

77.71%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27%

16.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36%

46.64%

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 18.36%

Germany 58.64%

Draw 22.99%

North Macedonia	Draw	Germany
1-0 @ 6.11% 2-1 @ 4.85% 2-0 @ 2.71% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.36%	1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 12.31% 0-2 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-4 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 58.64%