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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
GN

Iceland
0 - 4
Germany


Bjarnason (33'), Palsson (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gnabry (4'), Rudiger (24'), Sane (56'), Werner (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Iceland win it was 2-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
IcelandDrawGermany
18.37%20.56%61.07%
Both teams to score 57.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.69%39.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.35%61.65%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12%34.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38%71.61%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56%12.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63%38.37%
Score Analysis
    Iceland 18.37%
    Germany 61.07%
    Draw 20.56%
IcelandDrawGermany
2-1 @ 5.02%
1-0 @ 4.57%
2-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.37%
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 4.34%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.42%
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-3 @ 6.9%
0-3 @ 6.55%
2-3 @ 3.63%
1-4 @ 3.59%
0-4 @ 3.41%
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.5%
0-5 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 61.07%

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