Mali
1 - 0
Uganda

Coulibaly (18')
Traore (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mugabi (72'), Aucho (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Mali	Draw	Uganda
50.91%	23.57%	25.51%

Both teams to score 56.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.8%

44.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.43%

66.57%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58%

17.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14%

47.86%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.95%

31.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.64%

67.36%

Score Analysis

Mali 50.91%

Uganda 25.51%

Draw 23.57%

Mali	Draw	Uganda
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.91%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 6.47% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.51%