Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
Result | ||
Mali | Draw | Uganda |
50.91% | 23.57% | 25.51% |
Both teams to score 56.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.8% | 44.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.43% | 66.57% |
Mali Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% | 17.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.14% | 47.86% |
Uganda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% | 31.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% | 67.36% |
Score Analysis |
Mali | Draw | Uganda |
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.51% |
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