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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
ZN

Mauritania
1 - 2
Zambia

Niass Ndiacko (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mwepu (10'), Mumba (57')
Sakala (7'), Mumba (16'), Daka (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
MauritaniaDrawZambia
38.39%29.71%31.9%
Both teams to score 42.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.57%64.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.51%83.49%
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48%32.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95%69.04%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08%36.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29%73.71%
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 38.39%
    Zambia 31.9%
    Draw 29.69%
MauritaniaDrawZambia
1-0 @ 13.48%
2-0 @ 7.58%
2-1 @ 7.55%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 38.39%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 12%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.69%
0-1 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 31.9%

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