Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.