Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
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