SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Malaysia had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Malaysia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oman | Draw | Malaysia |
45.22% ( -0.38) | 25.74% ( 0.1) | 29.04% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( -0.26) | 51.04% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( -0.23) | 72.9% ( 0.23) |
| Oman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.28) | 22.53% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( -0.42) | 56.1% ( 0.43) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( 0.08) | 31.94% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% ( 0.09) | 68.39% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oman | Draw | Malaysia |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.04% |
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