Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scotland in this match.
