European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2021 at 8pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
0 - 0
Scotland

McGinn (16'), O'Donnell (87')

Gareth Southgate: 'We cannot expect too much from youngsters'

Scotland desperate to make history against Croatia

John McGinn takes inspiration from Scotland fans in London

Stephen O'Donnell delighted to repay Steve Clarke's faith

John Stones "gutted" to hit post in clash with Scotland

Mason Mount unsurprised by Billy Gilmour display against England

Southgate: 'Qualification more important than overcoming Scotland'

Shaw throws support behind "best striker in the world" Kane

Callum McGregor: 'We answered critics against England'

Gareth Southgate: 'England supporters must show patience'

Steve Clarke: 'There was no element of risk with Billy Gilmour'

Gareth Southgate "totally understanding" of reaction to Scotland draw

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
England	Draw	Scotland
58.91%	22.25%	18.84%

Both teams to score 52.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83%

46.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53%

68.46%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67%

15.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.93%

44.07%

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.59%

38.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.84%

75.15%

Score Analysis

England 58.9%

Scotland 18.84%

Draw 22.25%

England	Draw	Scotland
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 6.2% 4-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.9%	1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.25%	0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.84%