Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
