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SK
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 13, 2021 at 7am UK
 
LN

South Korea
2 - 1
Lebanon

Song (50'), Heung-min (65' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saad (12')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawLebanon
54.35%24.48%21.17%
Both teams to score 48.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74%52.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04%73.96%
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85%19.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19%50.81%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57%39.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88%76.12%
Score Analysis
    South Korea 54.35%
    Lebanon 21.17%
    Draw 24.47%
South KoreaDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.17%

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