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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Sweden
2 - 0
Greece

Forsberg (59' pen.), Isak (69')
Ekdal (61'), Svanberg (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mavropanos (58'), Bakasetas (61'), Hatzidiakos (76')
Hatzidiakos (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Greece had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawGreece
46.39%24.82%28.79%
Both teams to score 55.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68%47.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45%69.54%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54%20.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08%52.92%
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8%30.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64%66.35%
Score Analysis
    Sweden 46.39%
    Greece 28.79%
    Draw 24.81%
SwedenDrawGreece
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 28.79%

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