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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
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Sweden
3 - 0
Kosovo

Forsberg (29' pen.), Isak (62'), Quaison (79')
Danielsson (37'), Ekdal (45+1'), Kulusevski (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aliti (21'), Hadergjonaj (28'), Loshaj (32'), Dresevic (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawKosovo
59.82%23.53%16.65%
Both teams to score 44.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.85%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06%17.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23%48.77%
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.05%45.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.32%81.68%
Score Analysis
    Sweden 59.81%
    Kosovo 16.65%
    Draw 23.53%
SwedenDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 14.16%
2-0 @ 12.16%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 5.42%
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.11%
5-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.81%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 16.65%

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