Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 37.25%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 31.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.58%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.64%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-0 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
