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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
MN

Tunisia
3 - 0
Mauritania

Skhiri (15'), Khazri (42'), Jaziri (86')
Meriah (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Diaw (18'), N'Diaye (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawMauritania
53.9%23.82%22.27%
Both teams to score 52.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43%70.57%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03%72.96%
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 53.9%
    Mauritania 22.27%
    Draw 23.82%
TunisiaDrawMauritania
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 9.59%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 5.5%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 53.9%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.58%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.27%

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