Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.