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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
TN

Zambia
0 - 2
Tunisia


Chapa (17'), Chilufya (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Khazri (8' pen.), Ben Slimane (90+2')
Sassi (53'), Khazri (54'), Ali Ben Romdhane (78'), Laidouni (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawTunisia
41.82%26.06%32.12%
Both teams to score 53.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85%51.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27%73%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43%58.57%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08%65.92%
Score Analysis
    Zambia 41.81%
    Tunisia 32.12%
    Draw 26.06%
ZambiaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.12%

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