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UA
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 15, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
 
VN

UAE
3 - 2
Vietnam

Salmeen (32'), Mabkhout (40' pen.), Khamis (50')
Al Ahbabi (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Linh Nguyen (85'), Vuơng Tran (90+3')
Hai Que (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab EmiratesDrawVietnam
45.8%25.82%28.37%
Both teams to score 52.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26%51.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49%73.51%
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86%56.14%
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2%32.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64%69.36%
Score Analysis
    United Arab Emirates 45.8%
    Vietnam 28.38%
    Draw 25.82%
United Arab EmiratesDrawVietnam
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.25%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.38%

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