SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Yemen had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Yemen win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yemen | Draw | Sri Lanka |
36.43% ( 1.15) | 25.78% ( 0.34) | 37.8% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -1.4) | 49.21% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -1.28) | 71.27% ( 1.28) |
| Yemen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.01) | 26.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% ( 0.01) | 61.33% ( -0) |
| Sri Lanka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -1.43) | 25.46% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( -2) | 60.29% ( 2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yemen | Draw | Sri Lanka |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.8% |
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