SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yemen win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yemen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Sri Lanka win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sri Lanka | Draw | Yemen |
19.52% ( -0.73) | 20.56% ( -0.11) | 59.92% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.6) | 37.45% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.64) | 59.67% ( 0.65) |
| Sri Lanka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( -1.06) | 32.59% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.87% ( -1.21) | 69.13% ( 1.21) |
| Yemen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( 0.05) | 12.19% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.17% ( 0.11) | 37.84% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sri Lanka | Draw | Yemen |
| 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.52% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.29)0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.1% Total : 59.92% |
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