Given the early improvements under Maloney, Wigan will believe that they can cause the upset in this fixture. However, we would not back against Bristol City against many second-tier opponents right now, leading us to predict a hard-earned home win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
0.57) 
-0.03) 
