SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.82% ( 0.11) | 22.12% ( -0.22) | 21.05% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( 1.1) | 42.51% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( 1.09) | 64.92% ( -1.09) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0.41) | 14.77% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.99% ( 0.78) | 43.01% ( -0.78) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.72) | 34.01% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( 0.78) | 70.69% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.05% |
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