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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
RL

Southampton
1 - 1
Rotherham

Armstrong (2')
Deen Sulemana (33'), Bednarek (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hugill (74')
Peltier (31'), Tiehi (68'), Clucas (76'), Lembikisa (84'), Kelly (90+2'), Appiah (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Southampton
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-0 Rotherham United

Rotherham United are yet to score a point in five away trips in the Championship so far this season, and catching Southampton at a bad time with the Saints regaining momentum, we can only see them falling to a heavy defeat on the South Coast with the hosts boasting superior quality all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawRotherham United
53.62% (0.739 0.74) 24.55% (-0.279 -0.28) 21.82% (-0.462 -0.46)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13% (0.616 0.62)51.86% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.531 0.53)73.62% (-0.532 -0.53)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.53100000000001 0.53)19.28% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.97% (0.86799999999999 0.87)51.02% (-0.869 -0.87)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-0.108 -0.11)38.55% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-0.102 -0.1)75.29% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 53.61%
    Rotherham United 21.82%
    Draw 24.55%
SouthamptonDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Southampton
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Ipswich
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Leicester
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 5-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Preston
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship


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