SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
43.93% ( -0.03) | 26% ( 0.01) | 30.07% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% ( -0.04) | 51.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( -0.04) | 73.42% ( 0.03) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.03) | 23.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( -0.05) | 57.38% ( 0.05) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( -0.01) | 31.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( -0.01) | 67.88% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.07% |
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