Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
