Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 3
Hamburger SV

Hochscheidt (26'), Fandrich (50'), Kruger (62')
Samson (76')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Terodde (14', 29' pen.), Kinsombi (22')
Ambrosius (60')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Hamburger SV
27.39%	23.96%	48.65%

Both teams to score 57.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.55%

44.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18%

66.82%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26%

29.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2%

65.8%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61%

18.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48%

49.52%

Score Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 27.39%

Hamburger SV 48.65%

Draw 23.96%

Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 6.81% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.22% Total : 27.39%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 9.51% 0-1 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 5.37% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.65%