Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.