Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
