Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Osnabruck win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Osnabruck win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
